* Econobusiness Biocycle and Biorhytmic Driven *

By : Edmond F. Lalang (economic and environment observer)

          Econobusiness Biocycle and Biorhytmic fluctuation is a conditional that must be experienced by every living creature in the development and growth of every day life, both individually and in groups in a region of space. Nature will always affect human life by forming a complex ecosystem environment, where humans, animals, plants and inanimate objects (non-biological) to interact and influence each other in harmony. Nature will always exist in the form of weather and climate cycles, air temperature, rain, wind and humidity will affect the lives of every living by providing a variety of biological resources (renewable resources) and non-biological (non-renewable resources) to be utilized for living human from generation to generation in space and time travel.

         We must to be think, concept, strategic, organize and act as "biological". As the current popularity of humans began "back to nature" as a form of return of human beings become more familiar and friendly environment. This can be seen in the form of utilization of various types of food and medicine organic to human health and prolong life. This has been expressed by John Naissbitt (Global Paradox, 1988) which states that the 21st century is as a "Century of Biology", and proven since 1995, the industry has been enlivened with a variety of products that use the word biology, namely bio-farm, bio-medical , bio-vision, bio-energy, bio-samsung and bio-technology, including the prevention of bio-security, bio-safety, bio-terrorism, biometric and other bios. Furthermore, according to Prof. Smith (MIT) that in 2020 was as the beginning of the century of biology, where many industries appear Biofarm preventive as well as the loss of an established profession and several disciplines. That is why economics needs to think and spawned the concept and the formulation of accurate and biological nature of dimension 2-3 and began with the use of complex mathematical models and the science of quantum statistics is developed into a dynamics knowledge (aero-dynamic, water-turbulencies and population dynamic) to solve various economic problems economy and social openness, social and politics of globalization and free trade system and the development of industrial technology, information technology, telecommunications and business management are increasingly complex, dynamic, full of changes and upheavals that are democratic and tough competition and sometimes filled with greedy nature, selfish, chaoistik and intrigue. So this is need to be supported by a computerized system that intelligent brains to follow the "bio-artificial intelligent" and "bio-hybrid" and combined with the development of genetic science-technology nannoteknologi and to prepare a calculation more complex and super fast with very high levels of memory to be able to predict and solve, even to prevent the emergence of various economic problems, food, social, climate and environment in the interval 25-100 years.

          Of course, expertise and skills required of a supported by an open-minded human and mental and spiritual visionary, positive emotions and the level of modern intellectual and social and democratic spirit. Actually since the 1980s, students of economics and business in the USA have been advised to study the biological sciences to be applied in the field of economics and business but declined and instead develop a range of simulation theory of mathematical knowledge (forming a new division of mathematical economic as "econometrics" the full complexity and utilize "acrobatic financial engineering" that would lead them astray and eventually was unable to avoid the coming crisis finansil 2007 made their own. Like the economist finansil giant construction and land high on a fragile sub-prime mortgages or choking the poor themselves in a spider's web with various networks and global levels and is protected by a swap derivatives and hedging is actually high risk, meaning they can not spawn the modern economic theory according to the trade and globalization are very open, fast and full of dynamics and eventually all their achievements over the decades have out and was hit by a tsunami devastated finansil in 2007 - 2008 with the consequent bankruptcy of the banking system. corporate and economic recession like the Great Depression of the 1930s. The irony of an ascent of economic growth in vain that often creates the effect of "bubble and over-heating economy" and finally just spent time, energy, natural resources and money for decades to come back to the bottom of the economic conditions of the 1930s with bankruptcies, bailouts and stimuli are very difficult to artificially lower the unemployment rate, poverty and economic recovery and the threat of deflation is severe and long winter like entering an era full of blizzards and freezing of economic sectors - business.

http://bioeconomic-natural.blogspot.com

Bio-rhytmic Economy (Macro Economy)

 By : Edmond F. Lalang (economic and environment observer)

 

         Economic activity is any activity of an economic community in a district, province and country that can emberikan various economic benefits in the form of profits, production and trade system channel for the provision of goods and services (including financial) for consumption needs and existing community services in the region and his country. This economic activity would provide a dynamic of growth for economic progress and prosperity to economic actors (profit), employees and labor (salaries and wages), and for the stakeholders ie the state (taxes) and society (multiplier effect). Economic activity will provide an aspect of the dynamics of growth with a rise and fall of economic conditions in the production of goods and services, investment flows out of the entry and finansil real, monetary and fiscal sector, the government in running the government according to the State Budget, the import and export activities of various economic activities other. Economic growth in the form of economic dynamics is an Economy Bioritmik a region, province and country that shaped the strains and economic fluctuations are often given in the form of a variety of "Macroeconomic indicators" of economic growth rates, inflation rates, interest rates and credit SBI, Rupiah, foreign reserves, surplus, trade deficit in the Balance of International Payments and the government budget (Current Account), Money Supply (Money Based Indicator), the price of fuel and basic food commodities and raw materials and industrial consumption, and others. But also important is the Debt Service Ratio is a country in managing its debts in order to provide a rational leverage for economic progress as well as to pay back its debt repayments (2009-2010 European cases such as Greece, Spain and Portugal). Strangely most of the major world countries and companies will always protect all its debts by way of hedging or reinsurance Credit Default Swap is similar, but with high risk and the cost is quite expensive that is often peddled by the Global Investment Banking. Though the risk itself basically can not "protected" safely with a variety of swap and hedging of economic turmoil because of the economic cycle by natural forces.

            With economic indicators, economists forecast the economy tried to do a monthly, quarterly, quarterly and yearly in the form of minutes of "Economic Outlook" to describe the economic outlook for the government and employers in determining a variety of strategic planning in government economic policy and the policy of the company's business to various economic macro data that has been predicted. But the main problem is that often the government economists and economic analysts can not give an exact prediction with a variety of econometric calculations in the field of monetary and fiscal policy, so that each quarter until the annual reluctantly have to revise the predictions of its economy to be adjusted (adjustment) with the real macro-economic conditions . This is caused by the use of various econometric formulas that are linear and the dimension 1 to predict the dimension of human economic activity is more complex (dimensions 1-3) and assisted statistical science (static / unmovable) to predict the various dynamics (movable) from various matrices and combinations physical condition, mental, expectations, achievements, spirit, appetite and other psychological factors of a number of hundreds of millions and even billions of human beings consumers and producers in a country and the world. Economics only understand about how to benefit and grow up every time as a prospect and economic opportunity, whereas if the decline is a loss, uncertainty and even risks that need to be and should be avoided.

         Though the rise and fall conditions and economic growth is a natural manifestation of human beings activities such as day and night, wake-sleep, healthy-sick, happy-sad, success-failure, including the pros and cons. This makes economic man often does not understand the supernatural and the natural effect of various economic activities. For this reason economists and businesspeople need to know more about the strains and fluctuation biorhytmic that already widely used by sports science, medicine, psychology) to avoid a declining economic cycle anticipation, even a preventive manner to avoid the risk of loss, failure and bankruptcy (insolvent). Bioeconomic method is preventive ways with an early warning system for economic and business can avoid the risk of loss, market risk, credit interest rate risk, inflation, currency fluctuation risks, the risk of fuel price hike, prices of raw materials and auxiliary materials, default risk, competition risk, the risk of changing tastes and needs of consumers and various other risks that could make the company at risk of loss, risk demand workers' rights and bankruptcy risk.

http://bioeconomic-natural.blogspot.com

Structure Formation and Character Nations that are less solid and less participatory.

By : Edmond F. Lalang (economic and environment observer)

As a case in Indonesian Economic Crisis in 1997 – 1998 that have have same sound with US recession in 2007 – 2008. This a lesson for us to instrospection to build national based fundamental is national building character for small people who are weak and poor

  
          The various nations of the world, is actually composed of various ethnic diversity, religion and class that shaped the sand as a form of organization that is not solid, participatory and high powered fighting and a lack of consistency and strong commitment. Fragments of this sand does not have "power cohesity" high, easy to separate and support each other less (actually dropped and tripped each other.) Groups this sand if included in the ball (globalization) and dropped down (gravity fluctuations) will not bounce, but it is sticky on the ground, which means it does not have a sand ball 'resilience (recovery) "the strong to rise again (1997 until now), though never achieving the economic growth of 6.5% in 2003 but supported only by the consumption sector 3-4% from 1999 to 2002 and began to climb again in 2007 to 6.2% by the acquisition of natural resources exports (to China, India , USA, Europe and Japan as well as skyrocketing commodity prices oil speculation, other mines and plantations. This is proven by the economic growth in 2009 only 4.5% only with a declining level of exports of natural resources and commodity prices plummeted by 40 - 50% of the price highest in 2007. Thus, when viewed in the economic fundamentals and structural economic growth is supported by factors of consumption (60%), exports of natural resources (30%) and manufacturing exports (10%) with economic growth rates that are less qualified in the sense of not able to give a lot of welfare for all citizens. This shows that the performance of the cabinet with a variety of economic policy is not too significant and brilliant, because without a strong government and hebatpun, fair economy will definitely grow to 3 - 4.5% without disruption of internal economic crisis and external (U.S. and world economic crisis in 2007/2008).

          For that we need a new paradigm and mindset change with open-minded way of togetherness, unity, spirit of nationalism and heroism to scrape out all the feudal mentality, corruption, selfish, greedy, instant and want to own delicious and struggling with employment but working smart to recognize excellence and discipline and work ethics, professional in producing creative and innovative products ber'value added "high which is accompanied by higher productivity. We start with a wealth of natural resources, both non-renewable resources and renewable resources with an advanced processing technology for our nation to get a high value added and no longer as a natural resource exporting countries that are still raw for the sake of progress and prosperity of the Indonesian people towards a just and prosperous society. So the advantage we are forming a nation is Nature-Based Industrial State. Development should be touching all levels of society and between regions, so that the imbalance of economic development can be based on justice for all levels of society in the form of economic democracy and social democracy in a fair, non discriminatory, consistent and continuous.

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