Minggu, 03 April 2011

Uncertainty and Threat for Business Life Cycle

By : Edmond F. La’lang (economic and environment observer)

         Cycle conditions, including in the field of economics and business that will form an uncertainty as a result of changes in human culture in its interaction with nature and fellow human beings to grow and advance in the field of economics, business, political, social, cultural, environment in various countries . From this man with all his ability to do introspection in the form of Learning by Doing with Learning Curve to make improvements, when in fact that also needs to be done is Learning by Time with Time Curve (Timing and Momentum) in the sense of learning from history, present and the future (vision, intuition, sixth sense, prediction). This has often complained of businessmen and economists, in particular that there is uncertainty of the macroeconomic fluctuations as well as general business conditions to determine the target growth strategy, competition, market share, potential profits and losses, management planning, economic macro indicators, fluctuations in raw material prices and salvation.
         Actually, if viewed from a biological aspect to the third dimension, all the cycles due to these changes can be anticipated and accurately predicted its rhythm we like to surf (surf on the beach) or hiking (up to the hills) with a good and rather than ride a roller coaster without being able to do something to avoid turbulence conditions (turbulencies). That's the natural cycle as a result of human performance is influenced by the law of God (supernatural), the law of nature (biology, biochemistry and biophysics) and gravity (physics). Biological system can find out with the movement of space and time are accurate (calculation formula using dimensionless 2-3) of the performance cycle, when it will go up, when there is at the top and when to fall back naturally and rhythmically (Bio-Rhythmic). So we do not need to be against the law of nature that sendri, but we should just enjoy this natural heritage wisely as a gift of God the Creator or by word Gde Prama, preferably humans like a river that flows from upstream to downstream and empties into the sea in peace without having to grumbling and stubborn. So the uncertainty (risk) itself is because people do not want to see the world and it is more natural and right, because human nature is ambitious, and uncontrollable greed to continue to increase to more rich, powerful and popular, but what human reproductive power is only limited (like pungguk miss the moon, what did not hand power to), then the natural laws of gravity will push it towards the bottom. The more powerful self-reinforcing, it is also getting stronger and harder the fall. That is why humans need to learn and adopt various natural laws of biological systems, biochemistry and biophysics of the Carrying Capacity (Capacity Rate of the Nature), The Law of  Deminishing Return, and various other natural laws, in addition to laws and rules (regulations) made by humans (countries and organizations) to be obeyed by men as economic actors, business, social and political.

        Carrying Capacity is an obstacle to carrying capacity and carrying capacity of the various activities of nature (natural bio-cycle) and human (economic, business, social and political) interact copy which will eventually result in saturation conditions (saturated) in the natural environment, including in activities economy-business. Carrying capacity will always cause a bottleneck and Crowded conditions that encourage people to do a self-reinforcement (self-reinforcing). Humans only see and make the vision of his own side who are just like the pungguk, frogs in the shell, narrow and selfish thinking, so was unable to understand the power of nature and the universe (supernatural) and the natural world (natural) that will form the strains, the fluctuations and turmoil as a form of bio-rhythmic human. Bio-rhythmic will form and affect the physiological and psychological human condition in the grow, achieve, compete, innovate. Supernatural power and strength and naturally as hierarchy in the ranks of this temporal power which will manage all aspects of human life in the world, where we just menjalanilah correctly according to the teachings of God of truth according to their religious teachings.
God created this world and its natural systems to be understood and obeyed. Humans should not do anything contrary to the law which was higher than its own system in the form of economic progress, greatness and power of industrial technology weapons which one day would fall and instead will collapse by the power of the supernatural and natural. Human world is subordinate to it in strength and power of humanity in the form of state organizations, religious, business, social, and political parties to run in a wise, fair and equitable. So according to the biological law that the oscillation and fluctuation is actually a "Certainty" in the sense there must be time to rise and there must now come down to be enjoyed and anticipated in the form of prevention or did not violate the rules of nature and to improve appropriate SWOT analysis and TOWS of economic conditions - business (external) and the condition of his own company (internal) and always follow the rhythm of natural biorhytmic, so it will always be spared from crisis and disaster (preventive ways) and no longer a problem solving after the crises and disasters that would have an impact risk to the harm very large.

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